Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-16 · 20:00
14.1423.1%
X3.6826.0%
21.8850.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
LDDWWWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Arsenal
WWWWWLLWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
3.50
7.70
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.50
7.70
Match total
7.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.60
Match total
19.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%20.9%-2.2 pp
Draw26.0%23.6%-2.4 pp
Away50.9%55.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.031.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
1-211.5%
0-19.5%
0-28.1%
0-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.415.30
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI
Draw FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Away FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away64.3%