Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-16 · 20:00
14.1423.1%
X3.6826.0%
21.8850.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
LDDWWWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Arsenal
WWWWWLLWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.10
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
3.50
7.70
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.20goals per matchArsenal conceded1.30Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.00goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.50
7.70
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.60
Match total
19.70
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%20.9%-2.2 pp
Draw26.0%23.6%-2.4 pp
Away50.9%55.4%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
1.03–1.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.5%
1-211.5%
0-19.5%
0-28.1%
0-05.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–5.30
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.526.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI
Draw FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Away FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away64.3%