Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 16:30
12.1045.7%
X3.5527.1%
23.5327.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLLWLLWWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Brentford
LLLLLWLWWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.50
Against
7.10
9.60
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
1.90
Total goals
3.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.10goals per match
Brentford conceded2.10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.10
9.60
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
2.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
21.30
Match total
18.10

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches252
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%43.7%-2.1 pp
Draw27.1%26.6%-0.5 pp
Away27.2%29.8%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.431.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-011.5%
2-110.7%
0-19.9%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.45
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=252.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%23.2%–44.3% CI
Draw FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Away FT35.6%25.6%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away54.8%