Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 14:00
18.0112.0%
X5.2018.5%
21.3869.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LWLWDWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Man City
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.70
Against
3.20
10.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.30
2.70
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded0.30
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
West Ham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.20
10.60
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.90
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.20N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
14.70
Match total
17.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
17.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%5.9%-6.1 pp
Draw18.5%14.7%-3.8 pp
Away69.6%79.4%+9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.544.1%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

0.882.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-214.7%
1-48.8%
1-28.8%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.566.91
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away77.8%