Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 14:00
13.6526.3%
X3.6826.1%
22.0247.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LLLLLLLLLD
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Leicester
LLLLWLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
2.40
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.90
Against
6.00
9.70
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
2.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Watford attack

0.60goals per match
Leicester conceded2.10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.10goals per match
Watford conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.00
9.70
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.70
Match total
21.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.80
On target
4.00
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%17.8%-8.5 pp
Draw26.1%21.0%-5.1 pp
Away47.6%61.1%+13.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

0.971.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.1%
0-110.8%
1-18.9%
0-28.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.69
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%6.4%–24.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT48.1%35.4%–61.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away66.7%