Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 14:00
12.6736.0%
X3.5227.3%
22.6136.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LWLLLLWDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Brighton
DWDWLLWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
2.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

0.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Leeds conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.80
Match total
19.70

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%40.6%+4.7 pp
Draw27.3%23.7%-3.6 pp
Away36.8%35.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.451.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
2-19.5%
1-08.8%
0-17.8%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.91
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.0%32.7%–54.0% CI
Draw FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Away FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals26.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.0%
Away55.7%