Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 14:00
12.6736.0%
X3.5227.3%
22.6136.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
LWLLLLWDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Brighton
DWDWLLWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.40
2.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
0.90goals per matchBrighton conceded1.20Matchup
Brighton attack
1.40goals per matchLeeds conceded2.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.80
Match total
19.70
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%40.6%+4.7 pp
Draw27.3%23.7%-3.6 pp
Away36.8%35.7%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS58.0%
Historical average
1.45–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
2-19.5%
1-08.8%
0-17.8%
1-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.91
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.0%32.7%–54.0% CI
Draw FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Away FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals26.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.0%
Away55.7%