Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-12 · 19:45
12.1245.3%
X3.6026.7%
23.4228.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WDWLLWWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Arsenal
LWWWWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
2.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
8.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
8.40
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.10
Match total
19.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.20
On target
5.00
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%46.8%+1.6 pp
Draw26.7%34.7%+8.1 pp
Away28.1%18.4%-9.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.621.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-010.5%
2-110.0%
2-010.0%
2-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.44
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%30.6%–55.1% CI
Draw FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT13.6%7.0%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.0%
Away44.1%