Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:45
14.2622.5%
X3.6826.1%
21.8751.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM
Everton
LDLLLLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
2.70
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Against
6.80
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.70
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Everton conceded2.40
Matchup

Everton attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.80
9.90
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
20.70
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.20
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.5%18.8%-3.7 pp
Draw26.1%19.5%-6.5 pp
Away51.4%61.7%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

0.951.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.8%
1-211.3%
1-19.0%
0-29.0%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.17
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.1%8.1%–32.7% CI
Draw FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT54.3%38.2%–69.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.1%
Away68.6%