Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:30
14.9819.3%
X4.1723.1%
21.6757.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DLWLLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
DWLDWWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
2.50
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.00
8.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
2.50
Goals conceded
0.60
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Leeds conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.00
8.70
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.30
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.40
Match total
19.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.10
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.3%15.5%-3.8 pp
Draw23.1%20.7%-2.4 pp
Away57.6%63.8%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.022.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.5%
0-212.1%
1-112.1%
1-28.6%
1-48.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.595.64
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Away FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals53.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away100.0%