Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-10 · 20:00
17.3513.1%
X4.8519.9%
21.4467.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LWLDDLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Liverpool
WDLDWWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.20
Against
3.40
11.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.80
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.40
11.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.70
Match total
19.30

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.60
On target
5.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.1%10.4%-2.7 pp
Draw19.9%19.5%-0.4 pp
Away67.0%70.1%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

0.862.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.6%
0-114.3%
0-29.1%
1-49.1%
1-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.426.71
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away77.8%