Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-10 · 20:00
17.3513.1%
X4.8519.9%
21.4467.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
LWLDDLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Liverpool
WDLDWWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.20
Against
3.40
11.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.50goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.80Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.60goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.40
11.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.70
Match total
19.30
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.60
On target
5.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.1%10.4%-2.7 pp
Draw19.9%19.5%-0.4 pp
Away67.0%70.1%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
0.86–2.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-215.6%
0-114.3%
0-29.1%
1-49.1%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.42–6.71
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals27.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.9%
Away77.8%