Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 16:30
11.1881.7%
X7.6312.6%
217.165.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWLWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Newcastle
LLWDWWLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.40
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.30
Against
5.80
11.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
4.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.30goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.80
11.60
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.50
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
17.90
Match total
19.00

Shots

19.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
7.90
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.7%86.5%+4.7 pp
Draw12.6%8.1%-4.5 pp
Away5.6%5.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS32.4%

Historical average

2.760.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.9%
3-016.2%
1-010.8%
3-110.8%
5-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.642.56
Average total11.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.8%
Over 9.572.2%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.544.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%50.5%–89.8% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.5%
Away25.0%