Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 14:00
11.4665.8%
X4.8120.0%
26.7714.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWLDWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Leeds
LLWDLLLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
4.60
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.70
2.50
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.60goals per match
Leeds conceded2.70
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.60
10.90
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.10
Match total
19.90

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.40
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%69.1%+3.3 pp
Draw20.0%22.8%+2.8 pp
Away14.2%8.1%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

2.310.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
3-19.8%
2-08.9%
1-18.1%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.573.46
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%36.1%–69.8% CI
Draw FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Away FT3.3%0.6%–16.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away26.7%