Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 17:30
12.8034.4%
X3.4428.0%
22.5637.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LWDDLLLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Man United
WDDWDWLLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
11.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.60goals per match
Man United conceded1.90
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
11.10
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.50
Match total
20.00

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.70
On target
4.60
4%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%34.2%-0.2 pp
Draw28.0%26.5%-1.4 pp
Away37.6%39.2%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.281.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
0-110.9%
1-010.3%
1-28.6%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.97
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%26.4%–44.5% CI
Draw FT31.1%22.9%–40.5% CI
Away FT34.0%25.6%–43.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away57.3%