Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 17:30
12.8034.4%
X3.4428.0%
22.5637.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
LWDDLLLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Man United
WDDWDWLLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
11.10
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
0.60goals per matchMan United conceded1.90Matchup
Man United attack
1.40goals per matchBrighton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
11.10
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.50
Match total
20.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.70
On target
4.60
4%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%34.2%-0.2 pp
Draw28.0%26.5%-1.4 pp
Away37.6%39.2%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.28–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
0-110.9%
1-010.3%
1-28.6%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.97
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.535.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%26.4%–44.5% CI
Draw FT31.1%22.9%–40.5% CI
Away FT34.0%25.6%–43.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.5%
Away57.3%