Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:00
11.6956.8%
X3.8924.7%
25.2018.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WDWLLLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
LDDLWDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
7.10
8.90
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.60
Matchup

Watford attack

0.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.10
8.90
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
24.50
Match total
19.00

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.60
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.3%+2.5 pp
Draw24.7%20.9%-3.8 pp
Away18.5%19.8%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.841.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.2%
2-110.8%
1-010.8%
1-19.3%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.96
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%35.9%–58.7% CI
Draw FT37.1%26.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT15.7%9.0%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.7%
Away40.0%