Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:00
11.6956.8%
X3.8924.7%
25.2018.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
WDWLLLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
LDDLWDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
7.10
8.90
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.50goals per matchWatford conceded1.60Matchup
Watford attack
0.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.10
8.90
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
24.50
Match total
19.00
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.60
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.3%+2.5 pp
Draw24.7%20.9%-3.8 pp
Away18.5%19.8%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.84–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.2%
2-110.8%
1-010.8%
1-19.3%
1-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.03–3.96
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%35.9%–58.7% CI
Draw FT37.1%26.8%–48.9% CI
Away FT15.7%9.0%–26.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.7%
Away40.0%