Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:00
13.0032.0%
X3.3328.9%
22.4639.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
DDLWLLLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Aston Villa
LWLWLWWLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
7.20
Against
5.90
12.00
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.80
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
7.20
Corners against
5.90
12.00
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
5.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.00
Match total
25.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%28.6%-3.5 pp
Draw28.9%24.7%-4.1 pp
Away39.1%46.7%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.011.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.3%
1-113.2%
1-010.1%
0-28.4%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.30
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%23.7%–41.7% CI
Draw FT32.0%23.7%–41.7% CI
Away FT36.0%27.3%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away51.0%