Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:00
13.0032.0%
X3.3328.9%
22.4639.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
DDLWLLLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Aston Villa
LWLWLWWLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
7.20
Against
5.90
12.00
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
0.80goals per matchAston Villa conceded0.80Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.10goals per matchBurnley conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
7.20
Corners against
5.90
12.00
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.00
Match total
25.70
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%28.6%-3.5 pp
Draw28.9%24.7%-4.1 pp
Away39.1%46.7%+7.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.01–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.3%
1-113.2%
1-010.1%
0-28.4%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–5.30
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%23.7%–41.7% CI
Draw FT32.0%23.7%–41.7% CI
Away FT36.0%27.3%–45.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away51.0%