Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:00
12.2143.4%
X3.4427.9%
23.3528.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WLWLLDLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Southampton
LDWLWDLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.80N=10
6.40
Against
5.20
11.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded2.20
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.30goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.20
11.70
Match total
12.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.60
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%44.7%+1.2 pp
Draw27.9%29.6%+1.7 pp
Away28.7%25.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.501.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.9%
2-18.7%
0-08.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.36
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=469.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.6%26.4%–41.6% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT24.7%18.4%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away42.5%