Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-02 · 20:00
11.7654.5%
X3.9524.3%
24.5121.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WLWDWDWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Brentford
DLLLLLWLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Against
7.30
9.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.50goals per match
Brentford conceded2.00
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.30
9.70
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
16.90
Match total
19.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%59.6%+5.1 pp
Draw24.3%23.0%-1.2 pp
Away21.3%17.4%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.860.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.2%
1-011.7%
1-111.3%
2-110.4%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.693.89
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=230.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.9%35.2%–58.9% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.6%–45.0% CI
Away FT20.3%12.3%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away50.0%