Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-01 · 14:00
14.8319.9%
X3.7125.9%
21.7754.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWLLWLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Chelsea
LDWLDWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.10
1.20
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.80
Against
3.80
9.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Everton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.80
9.90
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.60
Match total
19.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.70
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.9%22.1%+2.2 pp
Draw25.9%24.8%-1.1 pp
Away54.2%53.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

0.881.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-115.0%
0-212.4%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.985.89
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Draw FT22.5%12.3%–37.5% CI
Away FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away62.5%