Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 17:30
19.699.9%
X5.8516.5%
21.3173.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDLWLLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
WWWWWDWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
2.10
Conceded
0.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
7.90N=10
4.20
Against
3.20
8.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded
0.40
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Leeds conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
7.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.20
8.90
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.80
Match total
2.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
23.80
Match total
18.00

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
4.20
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.9%6.5%-3.5 pp
Draw16.5%19.4%+2.9 pp
Away73.6%74.2%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.558.1%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

0.972.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-312.9%
1-29.7%
0-19.7%
1-66.5%
2-46.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.426.81
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away84.6%