Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
12.6835.9%
X3.3129.1%
22.7535.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM
Burnley
DLLLDWDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.70
2.70
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.10
Against
7.30
9.40
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
2.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
0.70goals per matchBurnley conceded1.30Matchup
Burnley attack
0.70goals per matchWatford conceded2.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.30
9.40
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.90
Match total
19.00
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.70
On target
1.90
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches541
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%29.9%-6.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.6%+2.5 pp
Away35.0%38.4%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.17–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
0-112.2%
0-08.3%
1-27.9%
2-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.70
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=540.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches177
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.0%20.1%–32.9% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.8%–49.2% CI
Away FT32.2%25.8%–39.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.8%
Away53.1%