Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
12.6835.9%
X3.3129.1%
22.7535.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM
Burnley
DLLLDWDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
2.70
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.10
Against
7.30
9.40
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
2.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Burnley conceded1.30
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.70goals per match
Watford conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.30
9.40
Match total
12.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.90
Match total
19.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.70
On target
1.90
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches541
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%29.9%-6.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.6%+2.5 pp
Away35.0%38.4%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.171.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-112.2%
0-08.3%
1-27.9%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.70
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=540.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches177
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.0%20.1%–32.9% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.8%–49.2% CI
Away FT32.2%25.8%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away53.1%