Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
12.4139.9%
X3.3728.5%
23.0531.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DDWDWWLLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
LLLDDDWWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
11.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
11.60
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.40
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%42.9%+3.0 pp
Draw28.5%28.5%-0.1 pp
Away31.5%28.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.441.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-010.9%
2-18.7%
0-08.5%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.85
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.3%24.6%–38.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%32.7%–47.7% CI
Away FT28.7%22.3%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away49.4%