Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
11.4068.9%
X4.9419.5%
28.3011.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLWLDDLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Norwich
DLLLWLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.60
Against
7.70
11.80
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Norwich conceded1.90
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.60
Corners against
7.70
11.80
Match total
11.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.50
Match total
1.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
22.30
Match total
19.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.9%62.4%-6.5 pp
Draw19.5%20.0%+0.5 pp
Away11.6%17.6%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.020.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.8%
2-010.6%
1-010.6%
1-19.4%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.863.51
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.536.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%