Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 12:30
17.8112.3%
X4.8719.7%
21.4168.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WLDDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Liverpool
WWDLDWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
8.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
8.40
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.40
Match total
19.50

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.40
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%7.4%-4.9 pp
Draw19.7%19.1%-0.6 pp
Away68.0%73.5%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

0.852.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-222.1%
0-114.7%
0-210.3%
1-48.8%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.377.04
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.539.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away83.3%