Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 12:30
17.8112.3%
X4.8719.7%
21.4168.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
WLDDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Liverpool
WWDLDWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
8.40
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.30goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.90Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.90goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
8.40
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.40
Match total
19.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.40
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%7.4%-4.9 pp
Draw19.7%19.1%-0.6 pp
Away68.0%73.5%+5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
0.85–2.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-222.1%
0-114.7%
0-210.3%
1-48.8%
1-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.37–7.04
Average total10.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.539.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.9%
Away83.3%