Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-25 · 20:00
12.0846.1%
X3.5926.7%
23.5327.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LWDWLLLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
DLLWDLLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.70
2.90
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.60goals per match
Leeds conceded2.70
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.20
Match total
20.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%42.4%-3.7 pp
Draw26.7%27.8%+1.1 pp
Away27.2%29.8%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.551.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-29.6%
2-18.1%
2-08.1%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.44
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%20.2%–42.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%31.4%–55.1% CI
Away FT27.0%17.6%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals50.8%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away54.0%