Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 14:00
12.1744.3%
X3.3228.9%
23.5926.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DLWDDLLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Southampton
LLDWLWDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.40
10%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.80
0.70
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
10.60
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.40
1.60
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.40goals per match
Southampton conceded2.40
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
10.60
Match total
12.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.20
Match total
21.50

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.60
On target
5.30
3%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches505
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%43.8%-0.5 pp
Draw28.9%28.7%-0.2 pp
Away26.8%27.5%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.501.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
2-111.5%
1-09.7%
0-17.5%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.36
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=505.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%24.6%–39.1% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.0%–48.2% CI
Away FT28.2%21.7%–35.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away50.0%