Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
13.5527.1%
X3.3328.9%
22.1844.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
DLLLWDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Newcastle
LLLWDWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.80
2.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.00
Against
6.00
12.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.80
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.80goals per match
Norwich conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.00
12.20
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.80
Match total
18.70

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.70
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%26.8%-0.2 pp
Draw28.9%22.1%-6.7 pp
Away44.1%51.0%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.091.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.1%
1-19.4%
1-29.4%
1-08.7%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.01
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.8%18.7%–44.0% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI
Away FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals51.1%
3+ goals25.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away63.8%