Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
11.1186.5%
X9.789.8%
225.833.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWWLWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Watford
LLDDLWDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.30
Against
6.80
11.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.00goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.80
11.30
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
17.60
Match total
19.80

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
8.00
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.5%84.0%-2.5 pp
Draw9.8%8.0%-1.8 pp
Away3.7%8.0%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.548.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

2.800.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
5-012.0%
4-012.0%
2-18.0%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.482.56
Average total11.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.544.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away25.0%