Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
11.1186.5%
X9.789.8%
225.833.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWWWWLWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Watford
LLDDLWDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
9.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.30
Against
6.80
11.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
3.00goals per matchWatford conceded1.50Matchup
Watford attack
0.70goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.80
11.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
17.60
Match total
19.80
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
8.00
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.5%84.0%-2.5 pp
Draw9.8%8.0%-1.8 pp
Away3.7%8.0%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.548.0%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
2.80–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
5-012.0%
4-012.0%
2-18.0%
1-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
8.48–2.56
Average total11.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.544.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away25.0%