Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 12:30
12.1145.6%
X3.5826.9%
23.5027.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWLDWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Man United
DWDDWDWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.50goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
10.90
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
18.80
Match total
20.60

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.30
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%44.4%-1.2 pp
Draw26.9%35.4%+8.6 pp
Away27.5%20.1%-7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.571.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
1-012.2%
2-210.1%
2-09.0%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.53
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI
Away FT15.5%8.4%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away44.8%