Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 12:30
12.1145.6%
X3.5826.9%
23.5027.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WWWLDWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Man United
DWDDWDWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.50goals per matchMan United conceded1.70Matchup
Man United attack
1.40goals per matchArsenal conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
10.90
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
18.80
Match total
20.60
Shots
18.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.30
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%44.4%-1.2 pp
Draw26.9%35.4%+8.6 pp
Away27.5%20.1%-7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.57–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.0%
1-012.2%
2-210.1%
2-09.0%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.40–4.53
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI
Away FT15.5%8.4%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.1%
Away44.8%