Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-21 · 19:45
12.7634.9%
X3.4128.2%
22.6136.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
DDDDLWLLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Southampton
LLLDWLWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.60N=10
6.60
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Southampton conceded2.40
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
6.60
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.40
Match total
21.80

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.20
On target
5.50
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches395
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%33.4%-1.5 pp
Draw28.2%26.8%-1.4 pp
Away36.9%39.7%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.241.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
0-111.4%
1-09.9%
2-19.1%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.81
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=395.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.4%23.8%–40.1% CI
Draw FT34.7%26.8%–43.5% CI
Away FT33.9%26.1%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away59.5%