Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 20:00
11.2080.3%
X6.8514.1%
217.125.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Brighton
DDDWDWLLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.00
Against
7.00
11.00
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
4.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.30goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
7.00
11.00
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
4.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
16.90
Match total
21.30

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
8.20
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.3%90.3%+10.0 pp
Draw14.1%6.5%-7.6 pp
Away5.6%3.2%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS22.6%

Historical average

2.520.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-022.6%
2-019.4%
1-016.1%
2-19.7%
7-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.522.16
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.538.7%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away18.2%