Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 20:00
11.2080.3%
X6.8514.1%
217.125.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Brighton
DDDWDWLLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
9.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.00
Against
7.00
11.00
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
4.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
3.00goals per matchBrighton conceded1.10Matchup
Brighton attack
1.30goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
7.00
11.00
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
16.90
Match total
21.30
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
8.20
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.3%90.3%+10.0 pp
Draw14.1%6.5%-7.6 pp
Away5.6%3.2%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS22.6%
Historical average
2.52–0.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-022.6%
2-019.4%
1-016.1%
2-19.7%
7-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.52–2.16
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.538.7%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away18.2%