Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 19:45
12.3441.0%
X3.2629.4%
23.2529.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DWLDDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLLLDDDWWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.30goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.20goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.90
Match total
23.90
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches637
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%40.3%-0.7 pp
Draw29.4%32.3%+2.9 pp
Away29.5%27.3%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.26–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-011.1%
0-010.7%
0-19.6%
2-19.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.55
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=637.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.3%21.0%–32.5% CI
Draw FT45.1%38.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT28.6%23.1%–34.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away46.9%