Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 19:45
12.3441.0%
X3.2629.4%
23.2529.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWLDDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLLLDDDWWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.90
Match total
23.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches637
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%40.3%-0.7 pp
Draw29.4%32.3%+2.9 pp
Away29.5%27.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.261.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-011.1%
0-010.7%
0-19.6%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.55
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=637.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.3%21.0%–32.5% CI
Draw FT45.1%38.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT28.6%23.1%–34.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away46.9%