Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 19:45
11.8751.4%
X3.6426.4%
24.3422.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDDWDDDWWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Arsenal
LLLWWWWWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
3.60
12.50
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.60
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.60
12.50
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.90
Match total
21.00

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
6.80
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%52.2%+0.7 pp
Draw26.4%29.6%+3.2 pp
Away22.2%18.2%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.580.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-111.9%
2-110.3%
2-09.5%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.19
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%30.2%–50.6% CI
Draw FT38.8%29.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT21.2%13.8%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away36.5%