Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-19 · 20:00
11.4168.5%
X5.2118.5%
27.4413.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Man United
LDWDDWDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.50
0.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.00
Against
6.20
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Matchup

Man United attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.20
10.50
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.10
Match total
3.80
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
17.20
Match total
20.90

Shots

22.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
8.30
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.5%68.3%-0.2 pp
Draw18.5%17.1%-1.5 pp
Away13.0%14.6%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

2.100.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.6%
2-014.6%
3-012.2%
1-07.3%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.983.46
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away36.4%