Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 14:15
11.7255.8%
X3.8425.0%
25.0219.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
DWLWLWDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Burnley
DDLLLDWDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.00
Against
7.40
10.30
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.70goals per matchBurnley conceded1.30Matchup
Burnley attack
0.70goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.40
10.30
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
14.90
Match total
18.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.00
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%60.3%+4.4 pp
Draw25.0%19.5%-5.5 pp
Away19.1%20.2%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.79–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
2-011.7%
2-19.9%
1-18.2%
3-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.98–4.02
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%37.1%–58.2% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.7%–43.7% CI
Away FT19.5%12.4%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.2%
Away37.8%