Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 14:15
12.2542.7%
X3.3828.4%
23.3228.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DDWLDDWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Leicester
WDDLLLLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
8.60
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.40goals per matchLeicester conceded1.90Matchup
Leicester attack
1.30goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
8.60
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.30
Match total
21.40
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches460
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%43.0%+0.4 pp
Draw28.4%29.1%+0.7 pp
Away28.9%27.8%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.41–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-012.2%
0-09.8%
2-18.3%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–4.36
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=459.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%26.5%–41.4% CI
Draw FT42.1%34.5%–50.1% CI
Away FT24.3%18.2%–31.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.0%
Away42.1%