Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 14:15
12.2542.7%
X3.3828.4%
23.3228.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DDWLDDWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Leicester
WDDLLLLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
8.60
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.40goals per match
Leicester conceded1.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.30goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
8.60
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.30
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches460
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%43.0%+0.4 pp
Draw28.4%29.1%+0.7 pp
Away28.9%27.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.411.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-012.2%
0-09.8%
2-18.3%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.36
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=459.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%26.5%–41.4% CI
Draw FT42.1%34.5%–50.1% CI
Away FT24.3%18.2%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away42.1%