Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:00
12.8633.6%
X3.2829.3%
22.5937.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Brentford
LDLLLLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
2.60
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
7.80
9.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
2.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.60
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Brentford conceded2.10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.80
9.50
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
2.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.10
Match total
19.50

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches399
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%30.1%-3.5 pp
Draw29.3%28.6%-0.7 pp
Away37.1%41.4%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.121.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-113.5%
0-09.0%
2-19.0%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.92
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=399.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%19.7%–34.6% CI
Draw FT39.4%31.5%–47.9% CI
Away FT34.1%26.6%–42.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away53.8%