Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:00
12.8633.6%
X3.2829.3%
22.5937.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Brentford
LDLLLLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
2.60
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
7.80
9.50
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
2.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.60
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
1.00goals per matchBrentford conceded2.10Matchup
Brentford attack
1.20goals per matchWatford conceded2.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.80
9.50
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.10
Match total
19.50
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches399
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%30.1%-3.5 pp
Draw29.3%28.6%-0.7 pp
Away37.1%41.4%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.12–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
0-113.5%
0-09.0%
2-19.0%
1-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.93–4.92
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=399.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%19.7%–34.6% CI
Draw FT39.4%31.5%–47.9% CI
Away FT34.1%26.6%–42.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away53.8%