Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:00
13.9024.6%
X3.6826.1%
21.9549.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DDDWDWWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Arsenal
WLLLWWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
3.70
10.80
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.50
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.70
10.80
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
19.70
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.6%18.5%-6.1 pp
Draw26.1%28.1%+2.0 pp
Away49.3%53.4%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

0.921.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.9%
1-111.8%
0-011.8%
1-210.7%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.66
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.8%7.5%–24.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI
Away FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.3%
Away56.9%