Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 12:30
11.5462.3%
X4.2522.6%
26.3515.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
WWWDWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brighton
LDDDWDWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
7.10
9.40
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
2.70goals per matchBrighton conceded1.30Matchup
Brighton attack
1.20goals per matchTottenham conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.10
9.40
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.30
Match total
20.90
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.50
On target
4.10
19%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%57.6%-4.7 pp
Draw22.6%28.2%+5.7 pp
Away15.1%14.1%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.73–0.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.7%
1-114.1%
2-011.2%
0-17.6%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.62
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Away FT21.4%12.7%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.4%
Away41.1%