Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 12:30
11.5462.3%
X4.2522.6%
26.3515.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WWWDWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brighton
LDDDWDWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
7.10
9.40
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.10
9.40
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.30
Match total
20.90

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.50
On target
4.10
19%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%57.6%-4.7 pp
Draw22.6%28.2%+5.7 pp
Away15.1%14.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.730.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.7%
1-114.1%
2-011.2%
0-17.6%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.62
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Away FT21.4%12.7%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away41.1%