Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 16:30
12.0646.6%
X3.7125.9%
23.5027.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
LWWWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Liverpool
LWWDLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.30N=10
For
6.90N=10
2.00
Against
3.60
11.30
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.80goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.00Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.90goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
2.00
Corners against
3.60
11.30
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.10
Match total
19.20
Shots
19.30N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
8.00
On target
5.60
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%41.2%-5.5 pp
Draw25.9%30.3%+4.4 pp
Away27.5%28.6%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.56–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-09.2%
2-29.2%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.27
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Away FT26.7%14.2%–44.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.7%
Away50.0%