Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 16:30
12.0646.6%
X3.7125.9%
23.5027.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
LWWWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Liverpool
LWWDLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.30N=10
For
6.90N=10
2.00
Against
3.60
11.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.80goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.90goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
2.00
Corners against
3.60
11.30
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.10
Match total
19.20

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
8.00
On target
5.60
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%41.2%-5.5 pp
Draw25.9%30.3%+4.4 pp
Away27.5%28.6%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.561.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-09.2%
2-29.2%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.27
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Away FT26.7%14.2%–44.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away50.0%