Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
12.6935.7%
X3.5427.1%
22.5837.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LWLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Leeds
LDLLWDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
2.40
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.10
1.70
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
2.40
Goals conceded
2.90
3.40
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded2.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.10
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
21.30
Match total
20.30

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.7%38.8%+3.1 pp
Draw27.1%25.7%-1.4 pp
Away37.2%35.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.431.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-18.9%
1-07.6%
1-27.2%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.76
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%28.1%–51.3% CI
Draw FT29.7%19.9%–41.8% CI
Away FT31.3%21.2%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away50.0%