Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
13.9824.2%
X3.6926.0%
21.9349.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WDDDWDWWLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Chelsea
WWLDWLDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
12.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
12.00
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.00
Match total
20.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.70
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%19.7%-4.5 pp
Draw26.0%27.2%+1.1 pp
Away49.8%53.2%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

0.961.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
1-212.1%
1-112.1%
0-29.2%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.48
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=173.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.7%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.2%10.8%–31.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Away FT42.3%29.9%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away55.8%