Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
11.6558.3%
X3.9024.7%
25.6417.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWLDWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brighton
DLDDDWDWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.90
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
18.20
Match total
19.10

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%56.5%-1.8 pp
Draw24.7%25.3%+0.7 pp
Away17.1%18.2%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.761.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-012.3%
2-111.7%
2-07.8%
3-15.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.68
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Draw FT35.9%22.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT23.1%12.6%–38.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.1%
Away43.6%