Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-08 · 20:00
12.3141.7%
X3.1130.9%
23.5127.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
LDDWLDDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Wolves
LDLWWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.40
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
5.80
8.50
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.30goals per matchWolves conceded0.70Matchup
Wolves attack
0.80goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.80
8.50
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
23.00
Match total
19.70
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches438
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%42.0%+0.4 pp
Draw30.9%31.3%+0.3 pp
Away27.4%26.7%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
1.26–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
1-013.2%
0-010.7%
2-09.8%
0-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–4.17
Average total9.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=438.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.524.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.4%28.7%–42.8% CI
Draw FT42.3%35.2%–49.7% CI
Away FT22.3%16.8%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.1%
Away44.0%