Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-06 · 19:30
12.5737.4%
X3.1630.4%
22.9832.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
WDDDDLWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Everton
LLLLDLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.20
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
2.20
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Everton conceded2.40
Matchup

Everton attack

0.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
3.30
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%32.3%-5.1 pp
Draw30.4%38.5%+8.1 pp
Away32.2%29.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.131.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.2%
0-012.9%
1-010.1%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.59
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=355.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches139
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%21.3%–36.0% CI
Draw FT54.0%45.7%–62.0% CI
Away FT18.0%12.5%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away42.4%