Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-06 · 19:30
12.5737.4%
X3.1630.4%
22.9832.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
WDDDDLWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Everton
LLLLDLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.20
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
0.80goals per matchEverton conceded2.40Matchup
Everton attack
0.60goals per matchBurnley conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
21.30
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%32.3%-5.1 pp
Draw30.4%38.5%+8.1 pp
Away32.2%29.2%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.13–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.2%
0-012.9%
1-010.1%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.59
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=355.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches139
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%21.3%–36.0% CI
Draw FT54.0%45.7%–62.0% CI
Away FT18.0%12.5%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away42.4%