Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-04 · 20:00
14.0523.7%
X3.4128.1%
21.9948.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WLWDWLLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Arsenal
DWLLLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.30
Match total
20.40

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%25.5%+1.8 pp
Draw28.1%24.8%-3.3 pp
Away48.2%49.7%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

0.991.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.7%
1-110.9%
1-010.9%
1-29.7%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.16
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%15.5%–37.7% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away48.2%