Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 16:30
11.5263.3%
X4.3622.1%
26.5814.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
LWWWDWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Newcastle
DLLLWDWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
10.10
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
2.20goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.40Matchup
Newcastle attack
0.80goals per matchTottenham conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
10.10
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
22.20
Match total
19.60
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.90
On target
4.00
17%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.3%68.1%+4.7 pp
Draw22.1%21.5%-0.5 pp
Away14.6%10.4%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.94–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.7%
2-012.5%
2-111.1%
1-110.4%
4-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.58
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.3%38.2%–69.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%28.0%–59.1% CI
Away FT2.9%0.5%–14.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals31.4%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away22.9%