Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 17:30
11.5263.3%
X4.6020.9%
26.1015.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LWWWLWDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Leicester
DWDDLLLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.10
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Leicester conceded2.00
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.10
9.80
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.90
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.3%66.7%+3.4 pp
Draw20.9%19.4%-1.6 pp
Away15.8%14.0%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

2.200.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
2-011.8%
3-19.7%
1-17.5%
1-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.553.81
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Draw FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.1%
Away51.9%