Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
13.0131.9%
X3.1031.0%
22.5937.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
WDLDWLWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Aston Villa
LWLWLWLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.30
Against
6.50
11.10
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.20goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.80
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.50
11.10
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
19.60
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%30.5%-1.5 pp
Draw31.0%36.4%+5.4 pp
Away37.1%33.2%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.071.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
0-013.2%
0-110.9%
1-09.5%
1-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.60
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=220.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%16.2%–34.3% CI
Draw FT53.0%42.4%–63.4% CI
Away FT22.9%15.2%–33.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.1%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away45.8%