Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
12.4239.7%
X3.6126.6%
22.8633.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DWDLWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
WLLLDWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.70
9.30
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded2.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Leeds conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.70
9.30
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.80
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.40
Match total
21.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.40
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%29.1%-10.6 pp
Draw26.6%26.6%-0.1 pp
Away33.6%44.3%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.331.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.7%
1-110.1%
0-28.9%
0-08.9%
2-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.97
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away31.6%