Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
11.3571.2%
X4.9919.3%
210.049.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWDDWDDDWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Brentford
DLDLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.90
Against
7.40
11.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.20goals per match
Brentford conceded2.30
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.40
11.50
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.80
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.50
Match total
20.10

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.90
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.2%78.6%+7.4 pp
Draw19.3%14.3%-5.0 pp
Away9.6%7.1%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS28.6%

Historical average

1.790.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.6%
2-021.4%
5-17.1%
3-07.1%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.793.00
Average total8.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.521.4%
Over 11.57.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%