Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
113.757.0%
X6.5414.7%
21.2378.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
DWDDDDLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWDWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
0.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
8.00N=10
5.90
Against
3.20
10.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.40
2.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
0.80goals per matchMan City conceded0.40Matchup
Man City attack
2.00goals per matchBurnley conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
8.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.20
10.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.30
Match total
18.40
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
3.70
On target
6.30
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.0%8.3%+1.3 pp
Draw14.7%8.3%-6.4 pp
Away78.3%83.3%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.58.3%
BTTS25.0%
Historical average
0.42–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-133.3%
0-225.0%
1-216.7%
1-48.3%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
2.92–8.83
Average total11.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away66.7%