Premier League · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
113.757.0%
X6.5414.7%
21.2378.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
DWDDDDLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWDWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
0.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
8.00N=10
5.90
Against
3.20
10.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.40
2.00
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Man City conceded0.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
8.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.20
10.60
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.30
Match total
18.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
3.70
On target
6.30
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.0%8.3%+1.3 pp
Draw14.7%8.3%-6.4 pp
Away78.3%83.3%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.58.3%
BTTS25.0%

Historical average

0.421.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-133.3%
0-225.0%
1-216.7%
1-48.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.928.83
Average total11.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away66.7%